Use this workshop to examine how emerging forces could change the way your organization creates value, coordinates work, and participates in its wider environment. Bring those possibilities into contact with a real strategic issue, then identify responses worth pursuing.
Before you begin
Prepare the workshop.
The guide is intended for leaders in innovation, technology, strategy, and planning, and for others helping their organizations navigate the changing territory ahead. It combines foresight deep-dives with participant deliberation, building toward strategic options and practical next steps.
01
Begin with a decision worth informing
Choose a consequential issue broad enough to invite fresh thinking and specific enough to support choices. It might concern a changing customer need, a source of advantage, a capability to develop, or a way of organizing work. Agree what participants can decide during the workshop, what they can recommend, and who will authorize subsequent action.
02
Bring different perspectives into the room
Include people who see the organization from different positions, particularly those close to customers, operations, technology, and strategy. Appoint an internal facilitator or presenter to prepare the briefings and guide the discussion, and someone to capture the useful findings. Use small groups where they help people contribute.
03
Prepare a small amount of revealing material
Select a few hypotheses and examples for each of the three themes below. Add dated observations from your own sector and from unfamiliar places. Include evidence that complicates the argument. Invite participants to bring a development they find consequential and an assumption behind the current strategy.
04
Adapt the format to the organization
The suggested schedule runs from 9:00 to 5:00 on day one and 9:00 to 12:30 on day two. Adjust the emphasis and activities to the group’s needs. An exploration horizon beyond the current planning cycle can help people reconsider familiar arrangements; the resulting actions can begin much sooner.
Day 19:00–5:00
Examine forces. Develop options.
Introduce the forces, explore their implications, and develop possible responses. The times below are a starting point; leave enough room for participants to make the ideas relevant to their own situation.
9:00–9:30
Welcome and the strategic task
Introduce the issue, share opening assumptions, and clarify what the group hopes to learn or decide.
The company itself is changing
Explore companies as coordination technologies and examine assumptions embedded in the current strategy.
10:10–10:25
Break
10:25–11:10
So what · Implications for our organization
Discuss which assumptions may be weakening, which commitments depend on them, and what deserves closer examination.
Reorganizing intelligence and work
Explore artificial agency, collective judgment, and different ways of assembling human and machine contributions.
11:50–12:30
Exercise · Explore value creation from the inside
Trace a familiar process from a customer, employee, or partner perspective. Consider how a different arrangement could change the experience.
Competition and the conditions of prosperity
Examine commoditization, platform power, livelihoods, and the wider consequences of organizational change.
1:55–2:40
Group discussion and strategic action map
Connect the forces to opportunities and exposures. Identify where the organization might act, experiment, investigate, or watch.
2:40–2:55
Break
2:55–3:40
Exercise · Explore contrasting futures
Consider how different operating conditions could affect the strategic issue. Capture the assumptions behind each possibility.
3:40–4:30
We could · Develop strategic options
Generate possible responses, combine related ideas, and develop the most promising alternatives to the current approach.
4:30–5:00
Synthesis and closing reflections
Agree which implications and options deserve further work. Retain disagreements and questions to revisit the next morning.
5:00
Adjourn
Keep a shared record of the assumptions, implications, and options as they emerge. Each session should give the next one something useful to work with.
Day 29:00–12:30
Test options. Identify next steps.
Use the second morning to examine the proposed responses more closely, make promising ideas concrete, and agree how the work will continue.
9:00–9:15
Return to the terrain
Revisit the implications and options. Invite overnight reflections, corrections, and connections.
9:15–10:15
Deliberation · Test the options across possible futures
Consider how each option would perform under contrasting conditions. Identify dependencies, vulnerabilities, and useful modifications.
10:15–10:30
Break
10:30–11:30
Foresight Insight Action prototyping
Make a promising option tangible through a workflow, storyboard, or walkthrough. Use it to expose assumptions and suggest a practical test.
11:30–12:10
Report out and deliberate on proposed initiatives
Compare proposals and discuss strategic relevance, feasibility, learning value, and consequences for affected people.
12:10–12:30
Commitments and closing remarks
Agree next steps, responsibilities, and a review date. Distinguish actions authorized now from recommendations requiring further approval.
12:30
Close
Leave with a useful record
Capture how the group’s understanding of the strategic issue changed, the assumptions that deserve further examination, and the options worth pursuing. Preserve the reasoning behind the choices, including important differences of view.
For the next steps, identify an owner, a first action, any resources or approval needed, and when the group will reconsider the result. An experiment should clarify something that matters to a decision. A watching brief should identify what change would prompt action.
Connect the workshop to ongoing strategy
Agree where the findings belong in the organization’s existing planning and resource decisions. Some proposals may be ready to pursue; others may need research, a stakeholder conversation, or a limited trial. The workshop should make those distinctions easier to see.
Arrange the first follow-up before participants leave. Circulate a concise record afterward and invite corrections. At the review, examine what has been learned and what should continue, change, or stop.
Content for the briefings
Prepare the three deep dives.
Select the arguments most relevant to the strategic issue. Use a few revealing examples, explain the mechanism each might reveal, and leave time for participants to question its significance. The prompts below are invitations to inquiry.
01
Foresight deep dive
The company itself is changing
Begin with the company as a coordination technology: an arrangement for bringing people, resources, and decisions together. Explore how changing coordination capabilities could alter organizational boundaries and the ways value is created. Connect this to the organization’s inherited understanding of its situation. A company can see a development coming while remaining organized around the conditions it will disrupt.
Bring it into the discussion
Discuss which arrangements are essential to the value being created and which reflect yesterday’s constraints. Examine what an unfamiliar competitor might assemble differently. Ask which assumptions would need to change before the organization could respond.
Explore artificial agency as the ability to initiate and coordinate activity. Follow a real undertaking from discovering a need through organizing contributions, checking results, and learning from the response. Consider how human expertise, software, and outside services could be combined. Treat collective judgment as something that can be designed, including how ideas are challenged and decisions made.
Bring it into the discussion
Discuss what could change in the coordination of work before any individual task is automated. Examine where judgment, authority, and accountability reside. Follow a proposed change from an affected person’s perspective, including the relationships and support that a formal workflow may overlook.
Examine which capabilities could become easier to obtain or reproduce, and what might remain scarce. Advantage could move toward customer access, trusted relationships, data, permissions, or control of important interfaces. Extend the inquiry to platform dependence, livelihoods, and the institutional arrangements that make a market workable. Consider who gains from a change and who absorbs its costs.
Bring it into the discussion
Discuss what happens around a capability as it becomes commoditized. Follow consequences beyond the company. Consider how a proposed arrangement could replenish the skills, trust, and participation on which it depends, and what limits or recourse might be needed.
Allow people to reflect before the full group settles on an interpretation. Use individual writing, pairs, small groups, or open discussion as appropriate. Invite different perspectives and ask people to explain the evidence and assumptions behind their views. Keep meaningful disagreement in the record.
Keep returning to the strategic issue
After a briefing, ask what the force could change, how that change would reach the organization, and which decisions depend on it. Follow both opportunities and difficulties. A simple shared map can connect developments to consequences, affected people, and possible responses. Return to the map as the conversation develops.
Use futures to challenge the options
Explore contrasting conditions such as widely available capabilities, concentrated platform power, or uneven adoption. These are possible starting points, not a prescribed scenario set. Use the same strategic issue and time horizon across the futures, and give each both opportunities and constraints. Prepare short starting descriptions beforehand if that would help the group.
Test the same options against those conditions, including continuing the current approach. Ask where an option would be useful, what it depends on, and how it might need to change. Keep the conditions consistent while testing. The purpose is to reveal assumptions and improve choices.
Make a promising idea concrete
Invite participants to sketch how a proposed initiative would work. A process map, storyboard, mock meeting, or service walkthrough may be enough to expose an unclear handoff, a missing decision, or an assumption about someone’s behavior. Use what emerges to suggest a small experiment or a focused piece of research.
Give the learning somewhere to go
Select next steps for their strategic relevance and the uncertainty they could resolve. Agree who will act, what evidence would change the proposal, and when the result will return to a decision-maker. Continue scouting for developments that challenge the organization’s working assumptions. Foresight becomes part of strategy when those findings can change what happens next.
Material behind the guide
Continue the inquiry.
The content draws on the Future Companies hypotheses, the Agentic Everything presentation, and Devin Fidler’s Foresight defined as a component of Strategic Management. The linked hypothesis labels above are shortened reading pointers. Hypotheses 79–87 offer further material on scouting, scenarios, and prototyping.
For optional facilitation methods, see the Government Office for Science’s policy stress-testing guidance and Liberating Structures’ 1-2-4-All. This guide adapts the underlying approaches to a shorter workshop.