The company itself
is a technology.

A research project by Devin FidlerCorporate futurist & foresight strategist

This project explores how platforms, AI, and the dawn of “agentic everything” are likely to reshape companies: their products, their workflows, and the ecosystems in which they create value. It draws on more than 15 years of intermittent research, asking users to consider what happens when software takes initiative, coordination becomes programmable, and the company itself becomes a technology we can redesign, recombine, and evolve.

Explore the field guide

The field guide

Examine the forces shaping future companies.

Nine paths through 95 hypotheses. These materials are for people helping their organizations navigate the changing territory ahead, including leaders in innovation, technology, strategy, and planning.

Reading path · 4 selected hypotheses

Transforming companies

Treat the company as something invented. Then examine what happens when its coordinating machinery changes, while its habits of understanding the world remain in place.

01Your company is a technology. Its successor won’t look like the companies we see today.

A company is a coordination technology: a way of bringing people, resources and decisions together to get something done. Take that literally and everything else follows. Its parts have inventors and dates: an early organizational chart was drawn for a railroad in 1855. Every reorg rearranges the boxes. Almost none redesigns them. Software can now do much of that coordinating, so competition arrives as a different way of assembling the same value. Wikipedia assembled an encyclopedia around volunteer contributions. Try the verbs we use for every other technology: patch a department, fork a business unit, sunset a layer of management. Each sounds absurd. Each is about to become ordinary.

Read in context
03Intelligence gets the credit, but institutions are the real magic.

Individual intelligence gets rather a lot of attention in explanations of human achievement. Yet being clever does not, by itself, produce a scientific community, a dependable legal system, or a city whose water keeps running. Those capabilities depend on arrangements that allow people to build on one another’s efforts. Institutions are the neglected super-technology here. Improving the arrangements may matter as much as improving the individual minds inside them.

Seen over the longer arc of human history, the question is how familiar human capabilities become cumulative. Institutions can let each generation begin with more of what the last one learned.

Read in context
06New organizational technologies could amplify willpower.

An arrangement can make useful behavior easier to sustain without requiring everyone involved to keep remembering, resisting, and making an exceptional effort. A well-placed feedback process or a routine that connects an intention to an action can change what ordinarily happens. This is one reason organizational design matters at the human level. Some of what looks like a recurring failure of individual discipline may be an opportunity to build a better system.

Read in context
13A company can be blindsided by something it saw coming.

Seeing a development approach does not automatically give an organization the capacity to respond. The information has to affect decisions, and those decisions have to change established behavior. A company can acknowledge a coming disruption while remaining organized around the conditions it will disrupt. Institutional surprise can begin well after the prediction has been made.

Evidence, limits & implications
Observation · September 2015
In their Nokia study, Timo Vuori and Quy Huy described leaders alert to external competition while internal fear distorted information about the company’s ability to respond.
The hypothesis
A company’s warning system can work while its response system fails. Recognizing a threat may leave the arrangements blocking a response untouched.
Conditions and limits
This retrospective study identifies one mechanism in one company. It does not explain every strategic failure.
Examine in your company
Trace a warning through the organization. Identify who hears it, who can challenge the prevailing assessment, and who can commit resources.
Read Vuori and Huy’s account of their research ↗

Research note · September 2026

Read in context
Read this section in full

About this inquiry

Value creation systems are evolving in important ways.

Changes in intelligence could change the kinds of organization worth building. If useful judgment becomes easier to obtain and combine, arrangements built around its scarcity may become negotiable. Change what it costs to coordinate work, and the reasons for keeping that work inside a particular company may change with it. Even the company becomes a design choice.

These 95 hypotheses follow the connections outward, from artificial agency and collective intelligence to the organization of work, the politics it creates, and the lives attached to it. The contribution lies in bringing these questions together: tracing how a new capability could become a different way to create value, and how that arrangement could redistribute power or require institutions we have not yet learned to build.

Use the hypotheses to examine assumptions embedded in your own organization and develop alternatives worth testing. Start with a familiar arrangement, consider what would make it unnecessary or newly valuable, and work toward an experiment that could reveal whether its logic still holds.

Read the complete approach

The inquiry in practice

Bring a specific problem to the discussion.

Bring an emerging development into contact with a decision that matters. A presentation, working session, or focused investigation can examine what is changing, which assumptions it puts under pressure, and what would be useful to test next.

01 / Perspective

Issue briefings

Trace an emerging development through the company it could change. A briefing connects concrete examples with their wider implications for competition, work, and how the organization creates value.

For leadership gatherings and executive programs.

02 / Application

Working sessions

Examine a decision such as keeping a function inside the company or delegating a purchasing process to software. Compare the assumptions behind different options and identify what evidence would change the choice.

For teams reconsidering a consequential strategic choice.

03 / Investigation

Focused research

Investigate an unfamiliar competitor, an emerging capability, or a shift in the conditions your strategy depends on. Examine signals, compare explanations, and identify the evidence that would change the decision.

For institutions developing a deeper line of inquiry.

Connect

Line drawing of Devin Fidler

Behind the project

Devin Fidler

A foresight strategist helping institutions to examine emerging change and its implications for the decisions ahead.

Future Companies is an inquiry into the changing nature of organizations. It sits within a broader practice spanning emerging technologies, alignment, the future of work, institutional change, and the forces reshaping how businesses create value.

Devin founded Rethinkery and previously worked at the Institute for the Future, including on the Workable Futures Initiative. His work brings unfamiliar developments into contact with the assumptions through which an organization understands its world.

Elon University · 2024Follow the consequences beyond the technology.

For Elon University’s inquiry into artificial intelligence’s impact by 2040, Devin examined how software agents could amplify existing institutional weaknesses. His contribution follows the incentives surrounding the technology: competition could accelerate activity while leaving its costs for other people to absorb.

The published analysis makes a case for institutional redesign alongside technical development. It offers a concrete example of the reasoning behind this project.

Read the university’s published contribution ↗
International business education · Seoul, 2024Place a new capability in a larger economic story.

The Pacific Asian Consortium for International Business Education and Research’s July 2024 program lists Devin’s keynote on artificial intelligence and a new era of digital globalization. The subject brings technological change into the wider context of international business.

The university’s program documents the speaking role and topic.

View the university’s keynote program ↗